What are the top draft trends, strategies for 2022-23?
The 2022-23 NBA season is less than a week away and fantasy basketball draft season is in full swing. Our fantasy basketball experts have been busy participating and offering advice on strategy in different formats.
There are always some last-minute tips that can be helpful to anyone who is just starting their draft. Andre Snellings
John Cregan, Eric Moody and Eric Karabell break it down.
Waiting on centers can pay off
In the most recent draft I did, nine starting centers went between picks 76 and 121, including all three of my centers on that team. I was able go perimeter early and often, but was still able balance out my squad with high-quality big men late. — Snellings
Depth at point guard
There is a lot of depth at the point guard position, with a lot of quality starting options for managers. In my H2H category Tiers column ,, I discussed how important it is to leave your draft with one of the top three levels regardless of the position’s depth. There are 15-point guards in those tiers combined. — Moody
Lack of quality small forwards
I seem to have this issue every season, but even more so this season: I just can’t find many small forwards I feel good about at their ADP, so I keep on passing them up and ending up with Portland’s Josh Hart or the Suns’ Mikal Bridges in the end. I like those Villanova products, of course, and it’s not a bad idea to load up on point guards and power forwards, but still, I find the top-100 depth lacking at the position. — Karabell
Fear of tanking teams is leading to overlooked players
The fantasy market seems to be fading most of the tanking teams and their respective players. This trend is worth looking at as the market is likely to let team goals dictate player expectations too much. Take Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for instance; his recent knee injury has tanked his fantasy stock, but a good degree of the fade is also drive by the risks associated with being on the Thunder. There’s Sexton, who is bound to finish in the top 10 or 12 in usage rate this season, but has relatively zero buzz. Young, and arguably emergent, players from the likes of the Spurs (Devin Vassell, Tre Jones), Pacers (Jalen Smith, Isaiah Jackson), and Rockets (Alperen Sengun, rookie wings) are all somewhat discounted in drafts this season. — McCormick
Clinging to established names over emerging young stars
The second round has the same concentration of uncertainty as the 10th round. Once you get beyond the seventh pick, (let’s say Ja Morant), the next 15 picks are a crapshoot. Managers are trying to hold on to established players with serious injury concerns in the late-first and early-second rounds (Durant, LeBron, Harden, KAT). I think it speaks to how 2022-23 looks like a transitional year in the NBA overall, with this under-recognized rash of under-25 talent staging a low-level takeover. — Cregan
The author of 5 books, 3 of which are New York Times bestsellers. I’ve been published in more than 100 newspapers and magazines and am a frequent commentator on NPR.