Fantasy basketball streamers and NBA betting cheat sheet for Tuesday
12: 30 PM ET
ESPN Fantasy and Betting Analysts
The ESPN fantasy and betting cheat sheet is your pregame destination for our best intel and data to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10-team leagues.
Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge
What you need to know for Tuesday’s slate
By Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe
Get the Bag: Marvin Bagley III (45% available),has stepped up for the Pistons lately with Jerami Grant sidelined. Bagley has scored 52 points over his past two games and could feast on a Brooklyn team that lacks rim protection. Meanwhile, Andre Drummond (48%) is a legitimate double-double threat for the Nets against his former team.
PG’s Return: Paul George (9% available) is set to return to the Clippers’ lineup tonight after missing 43 games with an elbow injury. George’s return isn’t likely to change Robert Covington‘s (37% available) role very much. Covington will be needed to defend the Clippers against a strong Utah offense. He has seven blocks and four steals in his last three games and is worthy of interest as a streaming candidate or target for defensive props.
Mathief Thybulle: Whether you are chasing steals and/or blocks in the final weeks of a roto format or simply need to beef up your defense in head-to-head leagues, Matisse Thybulle (82%) is your guy. He is the league’s leader in steal percentage. While foul trouble can get in the way of his minutes at times, his value as the team’s best point-of-attack defender should keep him busy against Jrue Holiday tonight. He will likely play a significant defensive role against Milwaukee’s perimeter scorers, as well as being a target for stock props (steals or blocks).
Slot in Satoransky: Tomas Satoransky (99% available) checks in at just $4,100 on DraftKings, but there is a little more upside than meets the eye in a game BPI actually likes the Wizards to win tonight. He has at least five dimes in each of Washington’s past four victories and is averaging over a steal per game while
LeBron-less Lakers: LeBron James and Anthony Davis are listed as doubtful to play against the Mavericks tonight. Malik Monk (78%) has seen his usage rate jump by 3.8% when James and Davis have been off the floor this season. Monk has scored 46 points over his last two games and is a helpful streaming option and DFS bargain for this five-game slate.
Game of the Night
Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers
7 p.m. ET, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Line: 76ers (-1.5)
Moneyline: 76ers (-125), Bucks ( 105)
Total: 228.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 228.5 points
BPI Win%: 76ers (56%)
Key players ruled out: none
Notable: Three straight (and six of eight) Milwaukee games have gone under the projected point total.
Best bet: Giannis Antetokounmpo over 47.5 points assists rebounds. Antetokounmpo has a history of big games against the 76ers. He has averaged over 47.5 PAR in each of the last four seasons against the 76ers and in the last two seasons he’s topped that mark in four of five games (including both matchups this season). — Andre Snellings
Breaking down the rest of the slate
Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards
7 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington DC
Line: Bulls (-3.5)
Moneyline: Bulls (-160), Wizards ( 140)
Total: 223 points
BPI Projected Total: 231 points
BPI Win%: Wizards (55%)
Key players ruled out: Kyle Kuzma
Notable: After failing to cover seven of nine games, the Wizards have covered consecutive games and host a Bulls team that played in New York last night.
Fantasy Streamer: Daniel Gafford. Gafford (87.8% available) should get more playing time with Kyle Kuzma out. He has averaged 18.2 points, 11.4 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per 40 minutes. The Bulls rank 21st in points allowed per 100 possessions. — Eric Moody
Best bet: Tomas Satoransky over 15.5 points assists rebounds. Satoransky has replaced Raul Neto in the Wizards’ starting lineup and has averaged 11.4 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per 40 minutes. Satoransky has averaged 29.5 MPG over his past two games. The Lakers (24.7) are the only other team to surrender more PPG to point guards than the Bulls (24.6). — Moody
Best bet: Kristaps Porzingis over 31.5 points rebounds. Porzingis has averaged 21 PPG and 8.5 RPG over the past 10 games. As the Wizards’ No. 1, he has seen a lot of usage. He could be back as the Wizards’ No. 1 player after a poor shooting performance on Sunday. — Moody
Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets
7 p.m. ET, Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Line: Nets (-13.5)
Moneyline: Nets (-1000), Pistons ( 650)
Total: 229.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 223.5 points
BPI Win%: Nets (77%)
Key players ruled out: Jerami Grant
Notable: Over their past 13 games, the Pistons are 10-2-1 ATS with nine unders coming through over that stretch.
Fantasy Streamer: Andre Drummond. Drummond (45% available) has proven to be a valuable addition to the Nets, providing them with a consistent inside presence as a offensive and defensive contributor. He has averaged 16 PPG, 10.7 RPG, 2.0 SPG, and 1.0 BPG over the past three games. — Moody
Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks
7: 30 p.m. ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Line: Mavericks (-12)
Moneyline: Mavericks (-800), Lakers ( 550)
Total: 218.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 224 points
BPI Win%: Mavericks (74.4%)
Key players ruled out: none
Doubtful: LeBron James (ankle), Anthony Davis (foot)
Notable: The Mavericks boast a top-10 defense in terms of efficiency, so it’s worth noting that the Lakers have failed to cover each of their past seven games that have gone under the point total.
Fantasy Streamer: Malik Monk. Monk will become one of the Lakers’ primary offensive players with LeBron James and Anthony Davis doubtful. He has averaged 15.5 PPG, 3.6 APG, 3.4 RPG, and 1.1 SPG over the past 14 games. — Moody
Best bet: Russell Westbrook over 33.5 points assists rebounds. Westbrook is producing more lately. He has averaged 21.2 PPG, 8.6 APG and 8.0 RPG for 37.8 PAR over his past five games. LeBron James is doubtful to play tonight, and in Westbrook’s last seven games without LeBron, he’s averaged 20.3 PPG, 7.1 RPG and 7.3 APG, averaging 34.7 PAR. — Snellings
Best bet: Under 219. The Mavericks are the slowest team in the NBA, while Lakers rank seventh. This game could be low-scoring if James and Davis are not there. Dallas has gone under in their past five games and nine of their last 13 games against the Lakers. — Moody
Utah Jazz at LA Clippers
10 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Line: Clippers (-1)
Moneyline: Clippers (-120), Jazz ( 100)
Total: 216 points
BPI Projected Total: 216.5 points
BPI Win%: Jazz (54.6%)
Key players ruled out: Hassan Whiteside
Questionable: Paul George
Notable: The Jazz have failed to cover four straight and have seen under tickets cash in 11 of their past 14 games.
Fantasy Streamer: Eric Paschall. If Rudy Gobert is unable to play, Paschall (99.8% available) will start at center. With Hassan Whiteside already ruled out, Paschall will get considerable minutes either way. He has averaged 18 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per 40 minutes. — Moody
BPI highest projected totals
1. Washington Wizards (116.4 points)
2. Brooklyn Nets (115.9 points)
3. Dallas Mavericks (115.8 points)
BPI lowest projected totals
1. LA Clippers (107.6 points)
2. Detroit Pistons (107.8 points)
3. Los Angeles Lakers (108.5 points)
BPI top probability to win (straight up)
1. Brooklyn Nets (77%)
2. Dallas Mavericks (74.4%)
3. Philadelphia 76ers (56%)
The author of 5 books, 3 of which are New York Times bestsellers. I’ve been published in more than 100 newspapers and magazines and am a frequent commentator on NPR.